The Baserate Fallacy, revisited

In which I share some iPython code for an interactive demo to calculate and visualise the probability that a positive test implies a positive result. You can get it here, and preview it here. Then I get entangled in a topic outwith my expertise.

The Base Rate Fallacy in Effector-Finding

In which an oft-overlooked bit of genome-mining statistics is considered, and your enjoyment of a holiday could depend heavily on other people's hygiene.

What is this 'effector' thing, anyway?

In which I opine about the definition of (plant) pathogen effectors.